Points that suggesting it was an accident:
- Official proclamation
- Fog and bad weather was confirmed from several independent sources
Points suggesting it wasn't an accident:
- Coincidence of 1 out of 3 helicopters crashing with the one crashing containing the President and VIPs
- Lack of telecommunication before the crash, either with base or even among the 3 helicopters. At least, officially, that is the info.
- The plane was US made (this is more of an enabling aspect).
- Putin publicly offering to find the "real reason" behind the crash (his wording was important).
In any case, I agree with the points you made ... we're living in interesting but tragic times ...